Supervisor: Adiel Teixeira de Almeida, Marcelo Hazin Alencar

Keywords: Flood risk; climate change; multi-criteria decision making/aiding; MAUT; NSMAUT; decision analysis

This PhD work presents a collection of multi-attribute decision models for prioritizing flood risks in urban areas under climatic change and urbanization effects, thereby considering socioeconomic, environmental, and mobility aspects. In light of the Expected Utility theory, this work proposes methodological advances and application in the practical context. With the aid of a decision support system, the thesis allows traditional preference elicitation procedures to tackle the time dependency, especially to improve the implementation of urban climate adaptation policies.

More information on Lucas work:

Personal website.

References:

• Lucas Borges Leal da Silva, Júlia Santos Humberto, Marcelo Hazin Alencar, Rodrigo José Pires Ferreira, Adiel Teixeira de Almeida, GIS-based multidimensional decision model for enhancing flood risk prioritization in urban areas, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 48, 2020, 101582, ISSN 2212-4209, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101582
• Lucas Borges Leal da Silva, Marcelo Hazin Alencar, Adiel Teixeira de Almeida,
  Multidimensional flood risk management under climate changes: Bibliometric analysis, trends and strategic guidelines for decision-making in urban dynamics, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 50, 2020, 101865, ISSN 2212-4209, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101865
• Cristina Pereira Medeiros, Lucas Borges Leal da Silva, Marcelo Hazin Alencar, Adiel Teixeira de Almeida, A new method for managing multidimensional risks in Natural Gas Pipelines based on non-Expected Utility, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Volume 214, 2021, 107709, ISSN 0951-8320, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107709
• Lucas Borges Leal Da Silva, Eduarda Asfora Frej, Adiel Teixeira De Almeida, Rodrigo José Pires Ferreira, Danielle Costa Morais, A review of partial information in additive multicriteria methods, IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, Volume 34, Issue 1, January 2023, Pages 1– 37, https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpab046
• Lucas Borges Leal da Silva, Marcelo Hazin Alencar, Adiel Teixeira de Almeida, A novel spatiotemporal multi-attribute method for assessing flood risks in urban spaces under climate change and demographic scenarios, Sustainable Cities and Society, Volume 76, 2022, 103501, ISSN 2210-6707, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2021.103501
• Lucas Borges Leal da Silva, Marcelo Hazin Alencar, Adiel Teixeira de Almeida, Exploring global sensitivity analysis on a risk-based MCDM/A model to support urban adaptation policies against floods, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 73, 2022, 102898, ISSN 2212-4209, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102898
• SILVA, Lucas Borges Leal da. Decisão multicritério georreferenciada para priorização de riscos de inundações em áreas urbanas sob efeito das mudanças climáticas. 2022. Tese (Doutorado em Engenharia da Produção) - Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Recife, 2022, https://repositorio.ufpe.br/handle/123456789/45617